Over US$4M Needed For 2013 Census

The statistician general at the Gambia Bureau of Statistics (GBoS) has revealed that the budget for the activities relating to the Fifth National Population and Housing Census in 2013 is estimated to be above US$4M.

Nyakassi MB Sanyang made this disclosure Wednesday while presenting the annual activity report and audited financial statement of GBoS for the year ended 31st January to December 2011, before the Joint Session of the Public Accounts and Public Enterprises Committee (PAC/PEC), of the National Assembly. He said the census is conducted every 10 years and The Gambia has successfully conducted four censuses since independence, the last of which was in 2003.

He also told the deputies that they plan to open 13 regional offices at least three months before the actual census count, and that each office needs to be equipped with a pick-up vehicle. Sanyang added that in the light of the above, it is recommended that a donor conference be held to solicit more donor funding for the 2013 Population and Housing Census.

Sanyang informed the Committee that the 2013 Census has both long and short-term objectives. He explained that the long-term objectives can be identified as follows: by the end of the project, to improve the knowledge on main characteristics of the population in the country to better understand the interrelationships of the population and development; build a data capture system that is sustainable and always available for document management for the GBoS and other government departments/agencies; analyse demographic and related socio-economic data/information at the national and sub-national levels, publish reports on thematic areas and disseminate these findings through seminars, workshops, internet and the mass media to engender wider access to information and for better integration of demographic variables in developing planning; and establish a geo-reference system of demographic and socio-economic information or planning and management.

Sanyang said the short-term objectives include the following: To develop skills of the GBoS staff; Geographic Information System (GIS), data collection, data processing, analysis, data dissemination and utilisation; to improve availability, accessibility and utilisation of census outputs in a timely manner; to identify population characteristics for the purpose of guiding social-economic policies and programmes; to update the enumeration area maps and district maps for use in sampling frame for inter-censual surveys; to establish an integrated GIS for the purpose of producing thematic maps; and to build a data processing system that produce tables for publication and further analysis as well as proper archiving of census data.

He said given the scope of censuses, preparatory activities usually start 2-3 years before enumeration.“When GBoS numerators were doing census mapping-out throughout the country, some people were claiming that they are not aware of any census activity going on, that means we at GBoS need to inform the people about what is happening so that they cooperate in what we are doing,” he added.

Sanyang noted that census activity entails a lot in terms of equipment and other resources, adding that in West Coast Region alone GBoS would open three centres, one for Kombo North, while the second centre is for the other Kombos and the third centre for the Fonis.

He further stated that preparations for the 2013 Population and Housing Census were continued in 2011 with the mapping exercise key among the preparatory activities. He also disclosed that The Gambia is for the first time using modern Geographic Information System (GIS) technology in census mapping, adding that with this technology, high quality census maps would be produced using satellite imagery while a GIS database will be developed.

He continued: “Recruitment and training for the mapping exercise was done in the second quarter of 2011. The actual mapping started in June 2011 both in the field and in office. For the field mapping exercise, teams were constituted and all teams were deployed to start the exercise in the URR. The official launch of the 2013 census mapping was also held in Basse, URR in July 2011 and it coincides with the national celebration of the World Population Day held in that region.”

The GBoS statistician general further informed the Committee that field mapping was successfully completed in URR and Banjul by the end of 2011, and that some teams have moved into CRR. He explained that to further build national capacity in GIS, a team was hired by UNFPA to conduct a two-week intensive training in GIS for the GIS assistants and some GBoS staff. 

He added that the training was not only found to be useful, but also timely. He opined that the census has been generally well coordinated since it started in mid-2011 at both field and office levels, adding that the exercise is on schedule as planned and is expected to be completed by the end of 2012.

Specific Recommendations

While underscoring that census is an extensive statistical inquiry that requires huge financial, material and human resources, Sanyang said since 2010, government and UNFPA are the financiers of the census preparatory activities. According to him, in the light of the above, it is recommended that a donor conference be held to solicit more donor funding of the 2013 Population and Housing Census.

GPPA Compliance Review

Ibraima Sanyang, senior compliance officer at the Gambia Public Procurement Authority (GPPA) said that for the period under review, GBoS was found to be mainly-complaint with the Public Procurement Act 2001 and Regulations 2003. The Committee then raised comments, concerns and observations before finalising the adaptation of the GBoS 2011 report.

Source: Daily Observer

Gamtel Made D1.450BN In 2011

The Gambia Telecommunications Company Ltd (Gamtel) said it generated D1. 450 billion in revenue in 2011, compared to the D1.395 billion registered in 2010.

This was disclosed by Baboucarr Sanyang, the managing director of Gamtel Tuesday, while presenting the annual activity report and financial statements for the year ended 31st December 2011, before the Joint Session of the Public Accounts and Public Enterprises Committee (PAC/PEC) of the National Assembly.

According to him, this represented an increase of D0.055 billion representing 4% increase with a gross profit margin of 33%. He explained that the increase in revenue was due to the increase in international, interconnection and data revenue by D13M, D32M and D42M respectively.

Sanyang further disclosed that the total sales for the year amounted to D970M and of this amount, D430M related to payment of interconnection charges to GSM operators for calls terminated on to their networks. He said that D195M related to payments to foreign carriers for the carrying and termination of international traffic on to their networks while the company incurred a material cost of D345M in 2011 compared to D68M in 2010 which shows an increase of D277M which represented 407%.

The Gamtel MD, however, noted that the increase was associated with an increase in the operations and maintenance of the international gateway. On their technical activities for 2011, Sanyang said there was an upgrade of international Internet bandwidth from two STM-1s to three STM-1s, which increased the capacity of their network from 310Mbits to 465 Mbits and back up of 14Mbits via satellite.

The Gamtel boss told the Committee that in their corporate affairs, the company in 2011, signed a Delegated Management Contract (DMC) with the Gambia Agency for Management of Public Works (GAMWORKS) for the refurbishment and upgrading of Gamtel sites and facilities in readiness for the NGN project. He said the activities of customer services in the fiscal year 2011 were centered mainly on expansion projects to keep pace with the stiff competition in the telecoms industry in The Gambia, due to the introduction of substitute and competing products by GSM operators.

Since training and development initiatives have been part and parcel of the development of telecommunication sector in the country, he said it has contributed immensely to the development of the telecommunications sector in the country. He added: “The high demand for more work-specific and academic programmes had made Gamtel management to put in a lot of efforts and finances towards the upgrading of the company’s training institute.”

Sanyang finally disclosed that the total number of staff of Gamtel as at the year under review stood at 1,125 comprising of 852 male and 273 female, out of which 81 are at managerial level, 67 male and 14 female. 

Gamcel 

In a similar presentation, Almamy Kassama, the general manager of Gamcel, also presented their report before the Committee. He reported total revenue of D1.127 billion as at 31st December, 2011, compared to D761M in 2010.  This, he said, represented an increase of D366M, representing 48% increase with a gross profit margin of 20%. D34M, D16M and D4M respectively attributed to the increases in revenue.

The Gamcel general manager explained that the total cost of sales for the year amounted to D900M, and of this amount, D522M related to free bonus given to customers while the company incurred a material cost of D116M in 2011 compared to D87M in 2010.

He further explained that the balance sheet has shown total non-current assets of D553M representing tangible fixed assets.He noted that there has been a decrease in tangible fixed asset from D637M to D553M as a result of depreciation charge for the year of D124M. He added that the total current assets stand at D68M as compared to D105M in the previous year.

On marketing and technicality, Sisay said Gamcel has embarked on network expansions while the commercial department manages the marketing and sales activity of the company through the creation and implementation of strategies aimed at adding value to Gamcel and its stakeholders profitably.

GPPA Compliance

Ibraima Sanyang, a senior compliance officer at the Gambia Public Procurement Authority (GPPA) revealed that Gamtel and Gamcel were found to be fully compliant with the public procurement Act, their Attendant Regulations and Instructions during the period under review, before both reports where finally considered and adopted by the Committee.

Source: Daily Observer

Can Ghana's Economy Prosper Against The Odds?

The sudden death of Ghana's president, John Atta Mills, on July 24 did not come as a rude surprise. Most Ghanaians already knew his health was failing; he was losing his eyesight and voice.

For the seven months that I was in Ghana (Dec 2011-July 2012), he rarely made a public appearance -- and despite official assertions to the contrary, most people did not believe he had the will nor the capacity to campaign for re-election in this year's elections in December.

What was remarkable, however, was that within hours of his death, the Vice-President, John Mahama, had been sworn in as the new president. The smoothness of the transition was exactly how Atta Mills would have wanted it. He was a man of peace and ardent believer in the rule of law.

The smooth transfer of power not only attested to the strength and stability of Ghana's democracy but also stood in sharp contrast to the rocky and chaotic transitions that followed the deaths of presidents Felix Houphouet-Boigny of Ivory Coast in 1993; Musa Yar'Ardua of Nigeria in 2010 and Bingu wa Mutharika of Malawi in 2012.

Also standing in sharp contrast to the smooth political transition process is the performance of Ghana's economy. After a stellar performance the past few years, the economy has hit some road bumps.

At a time when Europe has been in deep crisis, Ghana's economy galloped at a dizzying 14.5% rate of growth in 2011. In the fourth quarter, the rate was an astonishing 16%. The country achieved a single digit inflation rate of 8.6% and the lowest fiscal deficit to GDP ratio of 4.8% in decades, according to figures from the Minister of Finance.

Moreover, Ghana attracted $7 billion in foreign investment -- the highest amount recorded in its history. This economic boom has been sparked by recent discovery and production of oil.

However, prospects for 2012 have dimmed. The projected growth rate has been scaled back to 10%, although still impressive. An IMF team which visited the country in June described the economy as "sick" -- perhaps, an unintended allusion to the condition of the president.

The external value of the local currency, the cedi, has dropped precipitously from 1.4 cedis to the dollar in January 2.2 cedis to the dollar in July -- a drop of 57% in terms of the local currency. That drop has made imports more expensive and pushed the rate of inflation up above 10%. There is widespread grumbling about the rising cost of living.

It may seem skeptics, who questioned the sustainability of Ghana's economic success, are being proven right. They point to Ghana's neighbor, Ivory Coast, which was once declared an "economic miracle" back in the late 1990s but then convulsed into civil war and economic ruination in 2005 and 2010. They ask further: Hasn't oil been a curse to such countries as Angola, Cameroon and Nigeria, among others? Is Ghana not destined to follow the same path?

To some extent, the skeptics have a point but that is not the whole picture. To be sure, Ivory Coast was declared an "economic miracle" in the late 1980s and in 1994, the World Bank declared Ghana to be an economic success story.

However, received wisdom and accumulated evidence suggest that doing well economically is not enough. Intellectual freedom (freedom of expression, of the media, etc.) and political reform (establishment of democratic pluralism) are also needed to sustain economic prosperity. Countries that resist them eventually implode, unraveling all the economic gains made. This was what happened in Ivory Coast in 2005 and also in Yugoslavia (1995), Indonesia (1998), Madagascar (2001), Tunisia (2011) and Egypt (2011).

In other words, democracy is not necessary to engineer an economic success story but vital to sustain it.

In Ghana's case, incomplete political liberalization and fitful intellectual reform clipped its economic success in the 1990s.

However, things are much different today. The intellectual environment is much freer now. There are more than 100 private radio stations and over 20 privately-owned newspapers in Ghana. There is a vibrant and vigilant media that sparks intense intellectual debates. Call-in radio programs hold the feet of politicians to the fire and expose their shenanigans. Now and then, the country's Supreme Court rules against the government. Freedom of information bill is wending its way through Parliament, although it has been dragging its feet.

Politically, democracy is also being entrenched. Since 2000, there have been two successful transfers of power without violence or bloodshed. And the smooth transfer of power after the president passed away is another feather in the Ghana's democracy cap.

All these bode well for the sustainability of the current economic prosperity. But still, some serious hurdles lie ahead for Ghana's economic prosperity.

First, the non-oil sector of the economy is performing poorly. Agriculture, which employs over 60% of the population, grew marginally at 2.8% in 2011. With food production per capita declining, the country has to rely on food imports to feed itself. The performance of the manufacturing sector has also been weak. It is hard to find a manufactured good with the label, "Made in Ghana." As Ghanaians often lament, "We don't produce anything; we import everything from tooth-picks to toilet paper." As a result, imports are surging dangerously out of control.

The situation is eerily reminiscent of Nigeria in the 1980s when the country neglected its agriculture and manufacturing base and splurged on luxury imports. Army chiefs parked Maseratis and even Lamborghinis outside plush government villas, while their children attended expensive schools in Britain. One even had his Rolls Royce flown from Britain to Nigeria. Nigeria, which used to export food in the 1960s, now spends over $120 billion [latest figure I found] on food imports while 61% of Nigerians now live in poverty.

There are other bumps as well on Ghana's road to economic prosperity. The bloated size of the government suffocates the economy. In 1997, there were 88 cabinet and regional ministers plus their deputy ministers in a country with a population of 25 million. By 2004, the number had reached 92 but now down to 84. 

Too many ministries means overlapping jurisdiction and functions and a bloated bureaucracy. Indeed, the Vice President, John Mahama, has been complaining persistently about "excessive bureaucracy and red-tapeism in the public sector" in the state-owned Daily Graphic.

The public sector is riddled with overspending, wasteful practices and financial irregularities and profligacy. The situation has become so dire that the government consumes all it collects in revenue, leaving it with little or no savings to finance investments. For example, in 2011, total revenue stood at GH¢12 billion (or $7.5 billion) but general government expenditures added up to GH¢13 billion, leaving the government with negative savings.

However, the biggest hurdle when I was in the country was the high level of anxiety, tension and uncertainty about the December poll. In times of uncertainty, investors hold on to their wallets and the rich park their wealth outside the country. Capital flight and surging imports have evidently contributed to the sharp drop in the external value of the local currency.

I left Ghana for the U.S. on July 21 and President Atta Mills passed away on July 24. Most likely, political tension in the country will abate somewhat as Ghanaians put away their differences to mourn their departed president. However, the uncertainty will resurface after the burial. While the new president, John Mahama, is respected and level-headed, he is unlikely to accomplish much before December.

One wag has urged Ghanaians to vote for a "Non-John" in December. Since 1981, Ghana has had the following presidents: Jerry John Rawlings, John Kufuor, John Atta Mills, and now John Mahama. "Enough JOHNS. Haba! This is the worst form of name tribalism. Time for a revolution," the wag exclaims.

Well, Ghanaians will decide in December.

Source: CNN Marketplace Africa